Saturday, May 07, 2005

Did LibDems hand the Tories victory?

The Pub Philosopher insists that "the relatively small swings from Labour to the Tories were translated into victories only because of Labour defections to the Liberal Democrats". I am almost certain this is utterly false and true in only two constituencies, based on those I was examining as the results came in. (We had the Times' Guide to the House of Commons 2001, to allow nerdy analysis of the 1997 and 2001 results alongside the 2005 count).

Later, when I have the time, I shall dgo through every Tory seat's result and look at how many were caused by swings to the LibDems.